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The Notebook on
COMMON SENSE, ELEMENTARY AND ADVANCED
is devoted to development, exposition, and illustration of what
may be the most important of all fields of knowledge:
WHAT IS GENERALLY TRUE AND IMPORTANT
TECHNIQUES
JUDGEMENT SCIENCE
COMMON SENSE + WISDOM ”
“includes what is common to all the sciences, what ( ) Please send me as free premiums for subscribing:
is generally true and important in the sciences. 1. Right Answers — A Short Guide to Obtaining Them '4. Strategy in Chess
MISTAKES are costly and to be AVOIDED — 2. The Empty ”
“conceptions I wish to deal with underground, but even if we slowed it way down, there
here are: is no evidence that we have either knowledge or wis
dom enough to control its application, unless we
That it is within the power of scientists and change some of our habits.
engin”
“INTERESTED IN THE FIELD OF Interpretation Strategy
COMMON SENSE, WISDOM, AND GENERAL SCIENCE Distraction Understanding
Gullibility Teachable Moment
Failure to Observe Indeterminacy
COMPUTERS are important —
Failure to Inspect System
But the computer field is over 25 years o”
“action will be most effective? the
nation’s foreign trade policies. There are many kind of action which is in the public interest? —
persons and suppliers who have been adversely af not special pleadings based on the experience of a
fected by foreign competition. It would be ”
“have one faulty line each. These two half
pairs then form one good pair which we can use.
6. WIISTED explained that it cost about 3000 pesos to get a
regular telephone. This entails the purchase of a telephone company
bond, which later can be sold.
<jhv SECRET”
“and corporations and public agencies — are built by E=2 T =7
people, led by other people. So our leaders must be
part scientist, part humanist, and part engineer, S=3 R=8
and they must use what they have, not in response to H=4 A= 9
some particular market-place,' but in the t”
“beings to risk their lives on.
. Andrew Sciambra, Garrison's assistant district.
■ Accordingly, Computers and Automation publishes
Attorney who interviewed Russo, delivered a memo to from time to time articles and other information
- Garrison, detailing Walter Sheridan's eff”
“ICA CORPORATION
-4-
It is fine to have good ideas and to carry out thorough feasi
bility studies,, but if you do not have a client who will go.
*2 7
into these plans, they will not do you much good. Until Tony
came along, ICAP Hellas did four or five studies a year for
”
“Conclusion
411 About Time-Sharing Services." Data Processing With due care taken in following the above steps,
ouarst. Vol. 18, No. 3, March, 1972. establishing a successful cooperative service bureau
Bairston, Jeffrey N. "The Terminal that Thinks for should be relatively easy”
“firmly believe this.
1963.
31. _______ . "Fictional Computers and Their If I have reminded you of both the pluses and
Themes". Computers and Automation. Vol. 11, minuses that world trade produces, ask yourself how
No. 12. December 1962. much of this your family knows and unde”
“13-00000
Virtue, in Spite of Erroneous Conceptions
J. P. Frankel
Dean of the Faculty
Harvey Mudd College
Claremont, Calif. 91711
"We think of knowledge as knowing how-to-do-it, wisdom as knowing whether-to-do-it,
and virtue (if the answer is yes) as doing-it."
In this”
“writings, local histories.
5. - This study was made from Oct.1947 until June 1948.
6. Methods were historical.*
7. Bindings and Conclusions
a. Dickinson College, founded 1783, had numerous problems in
cident to the establishment of any such institution, butinten-
sified by”
“a
.national business. we do not hear from our Spanish friends as
we do from George Economakis or Giovanni Manes.' The result is I
^ 1
that we do not know what is going on, in Spain, and do not have -
- ^ W ^ '''
then ca our minds. . I am sure that if you were there you wo”
“product, see if it sells. If it does, fig technical solutions do not exist outside of social
ure out what it was about it that sold, and push a considerations. The social costs outweigh such us
little harder. If this one does not sell, retrench ual factor costs as materials, ”
“do, such factors as training, supply processes, future usage rates.
common technical manuals, and the like.
If I had approved what was essentially two different airplanes, the prospects
of saving one billion dollarswould have evaporated. The issue of minimum diver
gence ”
“13-00000
Strategy and Action on World Trade
James H. Binger, Chairman
Honeywell Inc.
2701 Fourth Ave. S.
Minneapolis, Minn. 55408
“What we [the United States] have is a little corner of the world, and we must find a
way to live in it harmoniously with our neighbors, man”
“13-00000
26. Pohl, Frederick and Jack Williamson. Starchild. Binger — Continued from page 17
' Penguin Books, 1970. our world trade. These weights must be removed and
27. Sheckley, Robert. "Fool's Mate". 1953, as re this need must be attended to by Congress and our
printed”
“documents were cessed or the actual computer processing time used
destroyed through some catastrophe never resumed during the period. In addition, if so desired, a
business or were permanently closed down within six sponsor could be required to pay a minimum or maxi
months: a”
“experience. An example of such improve nary natural language. The vocabulary though small was
ment is Dr. A. L. Samuels' famous checker-playing pro free, and there was unlimited freedom in putting the words
gram, which can learn from experience, and which plays together, with”
“13-00000
The magazine of the design, applications, and implications of
information processing systems — and the pursuit of truth in
input, output, and processing, for the benefit of people.
World Affairs and Social Policy (continued)
33 Virtue, in Spite of Erroneous Concep”
“agencies, works in real-time, makes policy decisions
where there is a struggle between man and the com based on quasi-mathematics, commands vast resources,
puter, it is not a struggle to retain control but to and affects large numbers of people.
get it back once it has knowin”
“social-business
relationship with her/z With respect to the other members
of the study group, (M-7 claims that the situation, to date,
has not been conducive to ferreting out the identities of-
these individuals, but that she hopes that as the group
continues to meet, some r”
“the most competent, if not.
the most competent man in the Uni ted States in this gereral field
of investigation. Anything he turns out will be about as good as
it comes. Although I have not seen any of this most recent work,
my hunch is that it •.•.'ill be enormously valuable”
“One Must be Wise and Knowing
IFYOU
One final caution. I hope you have not heard x GIVE
me suggest that only scientists and engineers are
capable of leading us out of the thicket of diffi Y LUY IT
culties we are in. I am not advocating technocracy,
that totalitarian philoso”
“problem-solving teams differ
place mechani sms are important for determining soap considerably from those of even our biggest, most
or automobile styles, I believe that criteria of diversified companies, or else that we need some
risk-and-return of investment are elements of o”
“Is
pect, work for other engineers, who work for others, it possible that we could deliberately reverse this
who work in companies where the products are deter process and end up with clean air, but with slaves?)
mined not by science or philosophy, but by market
analysis. Now”
“our anxiety grow more dis
learning is by machine, only uneducated children dainful of ourselves and ambivalent towards comput
still know how to pose questions. A super-computer ers if computer usage is predicated on a mechanistic
is defeated by a human because he can bluff o”
“cost over-runs induced by multiplicity of
change orders, there are other reasons why credibility of costs must be.
carefully evaluated in a fixed-price incentive contract.
26
NW 50955 DocId: 32424709 Page 148”
“banker). He wouldn't fit in. Besides, he's doing a full potential. They must be seen as full-fledged
good job where he is.” members of the firm — not as consultants who are
here today, but who could move on tomorrow.
As a result, the analyst has exactly no motiva Experience i”
“past deficiencies, but also to
define a future for an institution in transition. He prepared a "five year plan" for the BDC
that set five goals, developed a corresponding program to meet each goal, and designed a
system to monitor the progress. In achieving all of the goals, M”
“computer programs purchased.
In addition to the non-users, another recent 6. They would have available for their exclusive
study revealed that most service bureau clients are use a staff of data processing experts and
not effectively using their service bureau and, as a comput”
“Richard Accordingly, Computers and Automation publishes
Nixon's career — his ascendancy to the pinnacle of from time to time articles and other information
American power has required twenty-five years of related to socially useful input and output of data
care and feeding by ”
“13-00000 1
have to be done rationally. I also believe that it pollution caused by internal combustion engines by
will have to be done by humanists, and that before using electric autos, for example. If so, we may
they can do it, we have somehow to lower, or at least replace p”
“whose members would certainly be appro---,
priate for such prospection.
After you have prospected the American business
community, you could go on to the European firms operating in
.Spain, in the same way. .. "s 7i - 3 - 0 * -.
I Coubt if ICA Iberia has the time for such ex”
“• 4
ZCAP-EA 3 serve cur operational seeds?
a) Present 2
As we all undoubtedly realize, our relations with
DANIP have been ratier loose and underdeveloped due
] I
- - --- -0 *5-0 --citations. We have, in effect.
g
wL
a nice-sounding relstienship called "ICAP IBERIA S.A.”
“systems analysis
approach which, of course, must take into account the
5 broad psychosocial and socioeconomic forces that in-
- fluence the psychodynamics matrices in individuals.
I am interested in the particular securities that are
25 precipitated in the ego structure of i”
“along. Lynn Sherr's explosive report - 'Case Closed.'
And-
SELMA SCHIMMEL, Breast Cancer Survivor: [sp?] Who is equipped to think of dying
in your 20's or 30's?
ANNOUNCER: -if you think it only happens to older women, you're wrong.
KERI DEARBORN, Breast Cancer Survivor: And ”
“Computer Revolution. Prentice-Hall, 1970. dering of a sound world trade policy in the United
36. Simon, Herbert A., and Allen Newell. "Informa- States the logical and popular response to a broad
tion-Processing in Computers and Man". and informed public petition.
American Scie”
“social workers and the like)
as- virtuous, that is, the do-ers. We will return to this matter of choice, but first
let's eliminate from the list of reasonable alterna
The World is Full of Problems tives facing society, the silly and dangerous notion
of a moratorium on scienc”
“the globe for some of our more basic needs — and for the consideration of Congress.
some portions will be dependent on us. The U.S. is
not self-sufficient in materials, nor does it have a At this point, there may be those who will accuse
corner on the world's technology, the w”
“would
be that of analyzing, modifying, and redesigning of
— At present there appears, to be a tragic lack systems prior to conversion to the computer. An ex
of interest locally by other CPA firms. ample of a joint or common cost would be the cost of
computer housing, includi”
“User Ap
-Dert News. Vol. 16, No. 6, June, 1972.
"Ater Nms.
co
praisal.” Datamation, Vol. 18, May 1972, p. 86.
Orve Lopments inVol.
IData 16, No. 10, October, 1972.
__ ...Transmission.” EDP Analyzer.
4. Ibid.. p. 89.
5. ADAPSO Eighth Management Symposium. "How to Op
to”
“discussion now developing, particu
a year we studied every way in which this and other larly in the halls of Congress, but also at various
countries are affected by international trade and other governmental and community, levels.
investment policies.
Facing these and still ”
“13-00000
Control in Time-Sharing Systems
Fermin Caro del Castillo
6043 Westridge Lane
Fort Worth, Texas 76116
“A timesharing installation (like every computer environment! is exposed to the seven major
dangers: fire, water, theft, fraud, sabotage, equipment malfunctions,”
“data processing, believes that the pro-■
fession of information engineer includes not only.
: ■ James Alcock, Garrison's assistant district at- competence in handling information using computers
|torney who handled the Shaw trial, said to the judge, and other means, but also a”
“accuracy which they have set.
In the case of (b) which derives from (a) — and can prove to
be so demanding that the needs of the CS could no longer be served,
the incumbent is required to manage a span of human contacts at
several levels in order to preserve his cover positio”
“who have been working toward consciousness for the trol. 1 noted that most of the stories focused on
super-computer have been successful because the re extensions of specific current uses and emphasized
jection of the data was a display of its first human man's responsibilitie”
“authors, and summaries. 47 New Installations
27 The Watergate Crimes [NT R] 23 Statement of Ownership
Inventory of 12 articles published in Computers and
Automation August 1972 to September 1973 on the Key
burglarizing of the Democratic National Committee offices
[A] — Artic”
“(quotes pp. 101, 645, 649).
the systems come into use, most of the origi 6. Burdick, Eugene. The 480. Dell Publishing Co.,
nal programmers have left or turned their at 1964.
tention to other pursuits. It is precisely 7. Caidin, Martin. The God Machine. E.P. Dutton
when giga”